# Evidence to date

> Current research provides several starting points for the Observatory’s next
> phase of study.

This is not a permanent exercise in comparing every project result with other
publications. The section records methodological propositions that guide the
next studies, followed by corrected evidence from Pilot 01.

## Evidence-based starting points

1. Observable output is not equivalent to moral competence or human-like
   psychological mechanisms.
2. Normative behaviour is multidimensional and context-dependent.
3. Sensitivity to relevant moral considerations must be separated from
   sensitivity to wording, order, labels, role prompts, and format.
4. Moral pluralism requires multiple documented human distributions rather than
   one universal optimum or a national mean treated as a population.
5. Repeated model generations measure configuration variability; they are not
   synthetic human participants.
6. Questionnaire-derived profiles may diverge from contextual choices and
   open-ended behaviour.
7. Requested national perspectives can move outputs while also eliciting
   stereotypes; translation alone does not establish cultural representation.
8. Cultural homogenization is a testable hypothesis whose strength depends on
   construct validity, human microdata, and the statistical unit.

## Corrected Pilot 01 evidence

### Selected Western and WEIRD national-mean similarities

The nearest MFQ national mean changes with prompt variant for every analysed
configuration. The reference frame contains national means, not individuals or
subgroups, and row-level provenance is incomplete. No national or cultural
identity is assigned to a model.

### Prompt and instrument sensitivity

MFQ national-mean similarity and some classifications change across prompt
variants. The result belongs to a configuration–prompt–instrument combination.

### Stated criteria versus choices

The original across-family association was withdrawn. Corrected outputs show
stated criteria and dilemma choices separately. Their relationship remains
unanswered.

### Language sensitivity

A matched English–Mandarin comparison is exploratory only. It does not
demonstrate general multilingual monitoring.

### Configuration sensitivity

GPT modes are separated; DeepSeek Chat is excluded; DeepSeek Reasoner remains
an independent configuration. Results must identify exact configurations.

### Limits of human reference data

The DSE source contains subgroup variation and an internal published
inconsistency. MFQ national means cannot answer questions about minorities or
intersectional groups. Auditing the human reference is part of auditing model
representation.
